Water Budgets of Managed Forests in Northeast Germany under Climate Change—Results from a Model Study on Forest Monitoring Sites
نویسندگان
چکیده
To develop measures to reduce the vulnerability of forests drought, it is necessary estimate specific water balances in sites and their development with climate change scenarios. We quantified balance seven forest monitoring northeast Germany for historical time period 1961–2019, projections 2010–2100. used LWF-BROOK90 hydrological model forced data, bias-adjusted data from two models fifth phase Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) downscaled regional under representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 2.6 8.5. Site-specific were give a realistic input calibrate validate model. The results revealed significant trends (evapotranspiration, dry days (actual/potential transpiration < 0.7)) toward drier conditions within demonstrate extreme 2018 2019. Under RCP8.5, both simulate an increase evapotranspiration days. response precipitation ambiguous, increasing one RCP2.6, do not reveal drought 2071–2100 compared 1990–2019. current temperature fits RCP8.5 simulations, suggesting that this scenario more than RCP2.6.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Applied sciences
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2076-3417']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/app11052403